Oklahoma State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
51  Natalie Baker SR 19:48
54  Ingeborg Loevnes SO 19:49
81  Kaela Edwards SO 19:58
136  Anna Boyert JR 20:09
178  Molly Sughroue SO 20:15
203  Aurora Dybedokken SO 20:20
331  Katie Spencer FR 20:39
472  Abbie Hetherington SO 20:52
612  Savannah Camacho SO 21:04
790  Janelle Martinez JR 21:19
National Rank #10 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #1 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.4%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 20.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 52.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 91.4%


Regional Champion 72.9%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Natalie Baker Ingeborg Loevnes Kaela Edwards Anna Boyert Molly Sughroue Aurora Dybedokken Katie Spencer Abbie Hetherington Savannah Camacho Janelle Martinez
Cowboy Jamboree 09/26 521 20:08 19:58 20:15 20:26 20:24 20:11 21:00 20:45 21:36
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 404 19:43 20:01 19:56 20:07 20:22 20:19 20:46 20:47 21:09 21:19
Big 12 Championships 10/31 333 19:54 19:46 19:47 20:04 20:13 20:06 20:39 20:41 21:18 21:08
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 384 19:45 19:52 19:59 20:19 20:07 20:14 20:56
NCAA Championship 11/21 364 19:43 19:38 19:54 20:13 20:13 20:53 21:07





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.4% 10.9 337 0.2 3.8 4.8 5.8 5.7 6.3 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.0 5.0 5.1 4.3 4.4 3.7 3.1 3.0 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.3 64 72.9 21.6 5.2 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Baker 99.4% 57.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.0
Ingeborg Loevnes 99.4% 59.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9
Kaela Edwards 99.4% 84.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4
Anna Boyert 99.4% 117.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Molly Sughroue 99.4% 135.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Aurora Dybedokken 99.4% 148.4 0.0
Katie Spencer 99.4% 195.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Baker 6.5 2.8 5.2 7.8 10.1 9.8 10.0 8.1 7.0 6.1 5.8 5.3 4.5 3.5 3.1 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2
Ingeborg Loevnes 6.9 2.6 4.5 7.6 9.2 9.2 9.1 8.6 7.9 6.9 6.3 5.3 4.2 3.8 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3
Kaela Edwards 10.5 0.4 1.3 2.8 3.5 5.1 5.7 7.3 7.2 7.5 6.3 6.5 5.7 5.2 4.8 4.4 4.6 3.8 3.3 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.9
Anna Boyert 16.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.5 2.5 2.9 3.6 4.0 4.5 4.6 5.2 5.3 5.5 6.1 4.9 5.2 5.0 4.2 4.6 3.9 3.7 2.9 2.8
Molly Sughroue 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.6 2.5 3.0 2.9 3.2 4.0 4.6 4.3 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.5 4.5 3.6
Aurora Dybedokken 22.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.6 3.6 3.6 4.1 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.9 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.4
Katie Spencer 36.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 72.9% 100.0% 72.9 72.9 1
2 21.6% 100.0% 21.6 21.6 2
3 5.2% 88.8% 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 4.6 3
4 0.3% 76.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 4
5 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 99.4% 72.9 21.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 94.5 4.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iowa State 99.5% 1.0 1.0
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Alabama 41.4% 2.0 0.8
Kansas 26.0% 1.0 0.3
Auburn 13.8% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Mississippi 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0